Authors :
Okpan Agara; Chukwuenye Agatha Tochukwu; Oyama Ovat Emmanuel; Agha Kalu Agwu
Volume/Issue :
Volume 10 - 2025, Issue 8 - August
Google Scholar :
https://tinyurl.com/vk2nhtxu
Scribd :
https://tinyurl.com/3djemebh
DOI :
https://doi.org/10.38124/ijisrt/25aug1206
Note : A published paper may take 4-5 working days from the publication date to appear in PlumX Metrics, Semantic Scholar, and ResearchGate.
Note : Google Scholar may take 30 to 40 days to display the article.
Abstract :
Cost overruns, where actual project costs exceed initial estimations, are a pervasive global challenge in highway
construction (Flyvbjerg & Cowi, 2004; Odeck, 2004; Flyvbjerg et al., 2009). This study evaluates the factors contributing
to these overruns in federal highway projects in South East Nigeria, examining their repercussions on the region.A survey
of 100 project personnel, selected via multistage sampling, revealed that underestimation during budgeting (\(X=2.19\)),
inflation (\(X=2.28\)), and unmet project specifications (\(X=2.46\)) are primary causes. Analysis identified major
contributors such as design alterations (\(X=2.72\)), material procurement challenges (\(X=2.19\)), and inadequate cost
estimates (\(X=2.11\)). The impacts on the construction sector and the broader economy include increased client costs
(\(X=2.40\)), reduced contractor profits (\(X=2.40\)), and project abandonment (\(X=2.48\)) (Love et al., 2011; Memon,
2011). The research also highlights potential mitigation strategies, such as using project management scheduling tools
(\(X=2.68\)) and ensuring thorough pre-project planning (\(X=2.58\)).Based on these findings, it is recommended that
decision-makers, including the Federal Ministry of Works and Housing, implement these strategies to improve project
outcomes.
Keywords :
Cost Overrun, Highway Project, Construction Project, Significant Impact.
References :
- Aibinu, and Odeyinka, (2006). “Construction delays and their causative factors in Nigeria.” J. Constr. Eng. Management, ASCE, (132) 7, pp. 667-677
- Akintola, and Eamon, (2000). ‘A survey of current estimating practices in UK’, Journal of Construction Management and Economics, Vol. 18, No. 2, pp.161–172.
- Akoh (2018) Risk Management Framework for Highway Construction Projects in Nigeria. Doctor of Philosophy Heriot Watt University, Edinburgh. United Kingdom.
- Alinaitwe, Apolot, & Tindiwensi (2013). Investigation into the Causes of Delays and Cost Overruns in Uganda's Public Sector Construction Projects. Journal of Construction in Developing Countries, 18, 33-47.
- Amadi, & Higham ( 2017). latent Geotechnical Pathogens Inducing Cost Overruns In Highway Projects.
- Andersen, Samset & Welde, (2016). Low estimates – high stakes: Underestimation of costs at the front-end of projects. International Journal of Managing Projects in Business, 9(1), 171-193. https:/doi.org/10.1108/IJMPB-01-2015-0008
- Anigbogu, (2019). Causes and effects of cost overrun in construction projects in Nigeria. International Journal of Civil Engineering and Technology, 10(1), 1-10.
- Anigbogu, Ahmad, & Molwus (2019). Cost Overruns on Federal Capital Territory Authority Road Construction Projects. FUTY Journal of the Environment, 13, 1-14.
- Anigbogu, Okereke, & Abiodun,(2019). Causes of cost overruns in construction projects in Nigeria. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 145(1), 04018116.
- Apolot, Ruth ,Alinaitwe, Henry,Tindiwensi, and Dan (2012). “An Investigation into the Causes of Delay and Cost Overrun in Uganda’s Public Sector Construction Projects”, Second International Conference on Advances in Engineering and Technology.
- Arewa (2016). Constructing Africa: Chinese investment, infrastructure deficits, and development. Cornell International Law Journal, 49(1), 101-139. https://scholarship.law.cornell.edu/cilj/vol49/iss1/4/
- Arifin (2018). Calculating the Cronbach's alpha coefficients for measurement scales with "not applicable" option. Universiti Sains Malaysia, 1-8. https://doi.org/10.13140/RG.2.2.16955.87843.
- Asiedu and Alfen (2015) “Understanding the underlying reasons behind time overruns of government building projects in Ghana,” KSCE Journal of Civil Engineering, Vol. 20, No. 6, pp. 2103–2111.
- Asiedu, and Adaku(2019). Cost overrun in public sector construction projects: A developing country perspective. International Journal of Managing Projects in Business. https://doi.org/10.1108/IJMPB-09-2018-0177
- Assiri (2016). Risk of loss of productivity in workplace. International Journal of Scientific and Technological Research, 5(5), 118-120. http://bit.ly/2INpfSQ
- Author Puteh, & Ong (2017). Quantitative data analysis: Choosing between SPSS, PLS and AMOS in social science research. International Interdisciplinary Journal of Scientific Research, 3(1), 14-25. http://bit.ly/32qeBur
- Azhar Farooqui and Ahmed, (2010); "Cost Overrun Factors in Construction Industry in Pakistan". Proceeding of First International Conference on Construction in Developing Countries (ICCIDE-1), Karachi, Pakistan, 4-5 August, pp: 499-508
- Buetow ( 2010). Thematic Analysis and Its Reconceptualization as ‘Saliency Analysis’.
- Cantarelli (2011). Cost Overruns in Large-Scale Transport Infrastructure Projects. A Theoretical and Empirical Exploration for the Netherlands and Worldwide. Thesis Series T2010/15, the Netherlands Trail Research School.
- Chileshe & Fianko (2012). An Evaluation of Risk Factors Impacting Construction Projects in Ghana. Eng Design Tech., 10-306.
- Chimwaso (2000). ‘An evaluation of cost performance of public projects: Case of Botswana’, Proceedings of the 2nd International Conference of the CIB, http://buildnet.csir.co.za/cdcproc/docs/ 2nd/chimwaso_dk.pdf.
- Chin (1998). The Partial Least Squares Approach to Structural Equation Modelling. In G. A. Marcoulides (Ed.), Modern Methods for Business Research.
- Doty and Glick (1994). “Typologies as a unique form of theory building: Toward improved understanding and modelling”, Academy of Management Review, (19) 2, pp. 230- 251
- Effects in Nigeria. Proceedings
- Everitt, Landau and Leese (2001). Cluster Analysis, Fourth edition, Arnold.
- Fageha, & Aibinu, (2015). Identifying stakeholders ’involvement that enhances project scope definition completeness in Saudi Arabian public building projects. Built Environment Project and Asset Management, 6(1), 6-29. https://doi.org/10.1108/BEPAM-06-2014-0030
- Famiyeh, Adjei-Kumi, & Owusu-Manu, (2017). Causes of cost overruns in construction projects in Ghana. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 143(1), 05016024.
- Flyvbjerg (2009). ‘Survival of the unfittest: why the worst infrastructure gets built—and what we can do about it’. Oxford Review of Economic Policy, Volume 25 (3), pp. 344–367.
- Flyvbjerg, Holm, & Buhl, (2009). Underestimating costs in public works projects: Error or lie Journal of the American Planning Association, 68(3), 279-295.
- FMW&H (2019). List of on-going federal highway projects In: SECTOR, W. (ed.). Federal Ministry of Works and9th July, 2017 in Niamey, Niger Republic. Federal Ministry of Power, Works and Housing Headquaters, Abuja.
- Frimpong, Oluwoye and Crawford, (2003). ‘Causes of delay and cost overruns in construction of groundwater projects in a developing countries; Ghana as a case study.’ Int.
- Hatamleh, Hiyassat, Ghaleb, & Rateb (2018). Factors affecting the accuracy of cost estimate: Case of Jordan. Engineering, Construction and Architectural Management, 25(1), 113-131. https://doi.org/10.1108/ECAM-10-2016-0232
- Heale & Twycross (2015). Validity and reliability in quantitative research. Evidence-Based Nursing. 18(3), 66-67. https://doi.org/10.1136/eb-2015-102129
- Health Journal.
- Housing, Nigeria: Federal Ministry of Works and Housing, Nigeria infrastructure projects: Explanations and their theoretical embeddedness. arXiv preprint arXiv:1307.2176.International Council for Research and Innovation in Building and Construction. J. Project Management, Vol. 21, pp. 321-326.
- Industry. Doctor of Philosophy, Services Research & Policy, 15, 123-125.
- Jennings (2012), “Why costs overrun: risk, optimism and uncertainty in budgeting for the London 2012 Olympic Games”, Construction Management and Economics, Vol. 30 No. 6, pp. 455-462. Journal of Construction Business and Management, 2, 24-35.
- Kaming, Olomolaiye, Holt, & Harris (1997). ‘Factors Influencing Construction Time and Cost Overruns on High-rise Projects in Indonesia.’ Construction Management and Economics, 15(1), pp. 83-94.
- Lee,and Jin-Kyung (2008), “Cost Overrun and Cause in Korean Social Overhead Capital Projects: Roads, Rails, Airports, and Ports”, Journal of Urban Planning and Development, Vol. 134, No. 2, 5962.
- Leo-Olagbaye & Odeyinka ( 2018). An Evaluation of Risk Factors and their Impact on Road Project.
- Lind, & Brunes (2015). Explaining cost overruns in infrastructure projects: a new framework with applications to Sweden. Construction Management and Economics, 33(7), 554–568. https://doi.org/10.1080/01446193.2015.1064983
- Love, Edwards, & Irani,(2015). Forensic project management: An exploratory study of project cost overruns. Construction Management and Economics, 33(11-12), 856-867.
- Mahamid (2013). Common Risks Affecting Time Overrun in Road Construction Projects in Palestine: Contractor's Perspective. Australasian Journal of Construction Economics and Building, 13(2), 45-53.
- Memon, Abdul Rahman, Abdullah & Abdul Aziz (2010). ‘Factors Affecting Construction Cost in Mara Large Construction Project’ perspective of Project Management Consultant.’ International journal of Sustainable Construction Engineering and Technology, 1 (2), pp. 41-53.
- Muhammad, & Sebastian-Dauda,(2017). Evaluation of causes of cost overruns in construction projects in Vietnam. Journal of Engineering, Construction and Architectural Management, 24(3), 273-289.
- Nigeria: Federal Ministry
- Odeck, (2004). ‘Cost overruns in road construction what are their sizes and determinants’. of the 6th International Postgraduate Research Conference in the Built and Human Environment, 2006 of Works and Housing.
- Ogbu, & Adindu, (2019). Analysis of causes of cost escalation in construction projects in Nigeria. International Journal of Research and Innovation in Social Science, 3(1) 163-172.
- Ogunlana, & Promkuntong (2016). ‘Construction delays in a fast-growing economy: comparing Thailand with other economies’, International Journal of Project Management, 14(1), pp. 37- 45.
- Olawale, Sun, and Ming (2010), “Cost and Time Control of Construction Projects: Inhibiting Factors and Mitigating Measures in Practice”, Construction Management and Economics, Vol. 20, Issue 5, 509526.
- Omoregie, & Radford,(2006). A study of the causes of construction project cost overruns in Nigeria. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 132(6), 577-585.
- Onolenemen (2013). Road Infrastructure and related development report. Abuja,
- Operation, Potential Nottingham Trent University.
- Park, & Papadopoulou (2012). Causes of Cost Overruns in Trasport Infrastructure Projects inAsia: Their Significance and Relationship with Project Size. Bulit Environment Project and Asset Management, 2(2), 195-216.projects in developing.
- Rahman , Memon and Karim, 2013 Significant factors causing cost overruns in large construction projects in Malaysia, J. Appl. Sci. 13 286–293.
- Ramanathan , Potty and Idrus ( 2012). Analysis of time and cost overrun in Malaysian construction, Adv. Mater. Res. 45 1002–1008.
- Sa'id ( 2019). A Framework for Collaborative Costing in the UK Construction.
- Sebastian-Dauda, (2017). Assessment of causes of cost overruns in construction projects in Nigeria. Journal of Engineering, Construction and Architectural Management, 24(5), 585-603.
- Skamris, & Flyvbjerg (2018). ‘Accuracy of traffic forecasts and cost estimates on large transportation projects’. Transportation Research Record, 1518. Studies and Implementation. Annual Investment Budgets (Last Five (5) Years) Achievement of the Past.
- Thompson, (2004). Exploratory and confirmatory factor analysis: Understanding concepts and applications. Washington, DC, US: American Psychological Association.
- Wachs (1990). ‘Ethics and advocacy in forecasting for public policy.’ Business and Professional Ethics Journal 9 (1–2). Zambia. International Journal of Project Management, 27, 522-531.
Cost overruns, where actual project costs exceed initial estimations, are a pervasive global challenge in highway
construction (Flyvbjerg & Cowi, 2004; Odeck, 2004; Flyvbjerg et al., 2009). This study evaluates the factors contributing
to these overruns in federal highway projects in South East Nigeria, examining their repercussions on the region.A survey
of 100 project personnel, selected via multistage sampling, revealed that underestimation during budgeting (\(X=2.19\)),
inflation (\(X=2.28\)), and unmet project specifications (\(X=2.46\)) are primary causes. Analysis identified major
contributors such as design alterations (\(X=2.72\)), material procurement challenges (\(X=2.19\)), and inadequate cost
estimates (\(X=2.11\)). The impacts on the construction sector and the broader economy include increased client costs
(\(X=2.40\)), reduced contractor profits (\(X=2.40\)), and project abandonment (\(X=2.48\)) (Love et al., 2011; Memon,
2011). The research also highlights potential mitigation strategies, such as using project management scheduling tools
(\(X=2.68\)) and ensuring thorough pre-project planning (\(X=2.58\)).Based on these findings, it is recommended that
decision-makers, including the Federal Ministry of Works and Housing, implement these strategies to improve project
outcomes.
Keywords :
Cost Overrun, Highway Project, Construction Project, Significant Impact.