Analysis of Structural Regression in Method Approach Detecting the Economic Crisis of Selected Countries


Authors : Wahyu Indah Sari; Rusiadi; Ade Novalina; Lia Nazliana Nasution

Volume/Issue : Volume 4 - 2019, Issue 10 - October

Google Scholar : https://goo.gl/DF9R4u

Scribd : https://bit.ly/35U5kfH

This study aims to determine the impact of the economic crisis in eight selected countries namely Indonesia, Hong Kong, USA, Australia, Brazil, Canada, India, and Japan. The variables in this study are Interest Rates, Inflation, Current Account, Reserve Asset, Foreign Direct Investment (FDI), Exchange Rates and Stock Prices. The analytical method used in this study is to use the Structural Regression model. Structural Regression research results are known that the Reserve Assets Variable and Reserve Assets have a significant effect on Exchange Rates whereas while Inflation, Gross Domestic Product, Current Account, and exchange rates do not significantly affect Stock Prices. This is due to the weakness of a country's economic fundamentals as well as the value of domestic interest rates in Indonesia which is closely related to international interest rates where domestic financial market access to international financial markets and exchange rate policies are less flexible.

Keywords : Interest Rates, Inflation, Current Account, Reserve Assets,Foreign Direct Investments, Exchange Rates, and Stock Prices.

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