Authors :
Jonathan Muya Kupa
Volume/Issue :
Volume 11 - 2026, Issue 5 - May
Google Scholar :
https://tinyurl.com/ye6xvtty
Scribd :
https://tinyurl.com/mw9v9aux
DOI :
https://doi.org/10.38124/ijisrt/26May531
Note : A published paper may take 4-5 working days from the publication date to appear in PlumX Metrics, Semantic Scholar, and ResearchGate.
Abstract :
This paper provides a comprehensive analysis of current account sustainability in the Democratic Republic of
Congo (DRC), focusing on the structural determinants of persistent external imbalances and the policy mechanisms required
for sustainable adjustment. Drawing on both theoretical and empirical frameworks, the study demonstrates that the DRC’s
current account deficit is predominantly structural, rooted in weak economic diversification, chronic service deficits, and
significant primary income outflows linked to foreign-owned extractive industries. Using a mixed methodological approach,
including descriptive analysis and econometric modeling, the findings reveal that external imbalances are closely tied to
domestic structural constraints and limited absorptive capacity. The paper argues that sustainable adjustment requires not
only macroeconomic stabilization but also deep structural transformation, including industrial diversification, financial
development, and improved allocation of foreign direct investment (FDI). The study contributes to the broader literature
on current account sustainability in resource-dependent economies and offers policy recommendations tailored to the
Congolese context.
Keywords :
Current Account Sustainability; External Imbalances; Structural Deficit; Economic Diversification; Absorptive Capacity; Foreign Direct Investment (FDI); Resource-Dependent Economies; Balance of Payments Adjustment; Financial Development; Democratic Republic of Congo.
References :
- Alguacil, M., Cuadros, A., & Orts, V. (2011). “Inward FDI and Growth: The Role of Macroeconomic and Institutional Environment.” Journal of Policy Modeling, 33(3), 481–496.
- Banque Centrale du Congo (BCC). Rapports annuels and Balance des paiements. Various editions.
- Bresser-Pereira, L. C., & Gala, P. (2008). “Foreign Savings, Insufficiency of Demand, and Low Growth.” Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, 30(3), 315–334.
- Edwards, S. (2002). “Does the Current Account Matter?” In Preventing Currency Crises in Emerging Markets. University of Chicago Press.
- Frankel, J. A., & Rose, A. K. (1996). “Currency Crashes in Emerging Markets: An Empirical Treatment.” Journal of International Economics, 41(3–4), 351–366.
- International Monetary Fund (IMF). Balance of Payments and International Investment Position Manual (BPM6). Washington, D.C., 2009.
- International Monetary Fund (IMF). World Economic Outlook Database. Various editions.
- Malata, A., & Muya, J. (2025). Current Account Sustainability and External Adjustment in the Democratic Republic of Congo. Journal of Economics & Management Research. SRC/JESMR-375. DOI: doi.org/10.47363/JESMR/2025(6)279
- Milesi-Ferretti, G. M., & Razin, A. (1996). “Current Account Sustainability.” Princeton Studies in International Finance, No. 81.
- Obstfeld, M., & Rogoff, K. (1995). “The Intertemporal Approach to the Current Account.” In Handbook of International Economics, Vol. 3. Elsevier.
- Obstfeld, M., & Rogoff, K. (1996). Foundations of International Macroeconomics. MIT Press.
- Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD). FDI Qualities Indicators: Measuring the Sustainable Development Impacts of Investment. Various editions.
- Pesaran, M. H., Shin, Y., & Smith, R. J. (2001). “Bounds Testing Approaches to the Analysis of Level Relationships.” Journal of Applied Econometrics, 16(3), 289–326.
- Reinhart, C. M., & Reinhart, V. R. (2009). “Capital Flow Bonanzas: An Encompassing View of the Past and Present.” In NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics.
- Rodrik, D. (2008). “The Real Exchange Rate and Economic Growth.” Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 39(2), 365–439.
- Sachs, J. D., & Warner, A. M. (2001). “The Curse of Natural Resources.” European Economic Review, 45(4–6), 827–838.
- UNCTADstat. Foreign Direct Investment Statistics. Various editions.
This paper provides a comprehensive analysis of current account sustainability in the Democratic Republic of
Congo (DRC), focusing on the structural determinants of persistent external imbalances and the policy mechanisms required
for sustainable adjustment. Drawing on both theoretical and empirical frameworks, the study demonstrates that the DRC’s
current account deficit is predominantly structural, rooted in weak economic diversification, chronic service deficits, and
significant primary income outflows linked to foreign-owned extractive industries. Using a mixed methodological approach,
including descriptive analysis and econometric modeling, the findings reveal that external imbalances are closely tied to
domestic structural constraints and limited absorptive capacity. The paper argues that sustainable adjustment requires not
only macroeconomic stabilization but also deep structural transformation, including industrial diversification, financial
development, and improved allocation of foreign direct investment (FDI). The study contributes to the broader literature
on current account sustainability in resource-dependent economies and offers policy recommendations tailored to the
Congolese context.
Keywords :
Current Account Sustainability; External Imbalances; Structural Deficit; Economic Diversification; Absorptive Capacity; Foreign Direct Investment (FDI); Resource-Dependent Economies; Balance of Payments Adjustment; Financial Development; Democratic Republic of Congo.