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Current Account Sustainability in the Democratic Republic of Congo: Structural Imbalances, External Vulnerability and Policy Adjustment Mechanisms


Authors : Jonathan Muya Kupa

Volume/Issue : Volume 11 - 2026, Issue 5 - May


Google Scholar : https://tinyurl.com/ye6xvtty

Scribd : https://tinyurl.com/mw9v9aux

DOI : https://doi.org/10.38124/ijisrt/26May531

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Abstract : This paper provides a comprehensive analysis of current account sustainability in the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC), focusing on the structural determinants of persistent external imbalances and the policy mechanisms required for sustainable adjustment. Drawing on both theoretical and empirical frameworks, the study demonstrates that the DRC’s current account deficit is predominantly structural, rooted in weak economic diversification, chronic service deficits, and significant primary income outflows linked to foreign-owned extractive industries. Using a mixed methodological approach, including descriptive analysis and econometric modeling, the findings reveal that external imbalances are closely tied to domestic structural constraints and limited absorptive capacity. The paper argues that sustainable adjustment requires not only macroeconomic stabilization but also deep structural transformation, including industrial diversification, financial development, and improved allocation of foreign direct investment (FDI). The study contributes to the broader literature on current account sustainability in resource-dependent economies and offers policy recommendations tailored to the Congolese context.

Keywords : Current Account Sustainability; External Imbalances; Structural Deficit; Economic Diversification; Absorptive Capacity; Foreign Direct Investment (FDI); Resource-Dependent Economies; Balance of Payments Adjustment; Financial Development; Democratic Republic of Congo.

References :

  1. Alguacil, M., Cuadros, A., & Orts, V. (2011). “Inward FDI and Growth: The Role of Macroeconomic and Institutional Environment.” Journal of Policy Modeling, 33(3), 481–496.
  2. Banque Centrale du Congo (BCC). Rapports annuels and Balance des paiements. Various editions.
  3. Bresser-Pereira, L. C., & Gala, P. (2008). “Foreign Savings, Insufficiency of Demand, and Low Growth.” Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, 30(3), 315–334.
  4. Edwards, S. (2002). “Does the Current Account Matter?” In Preventing Currency Crises in Emerging Markets. University of Chicago Press.
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  6. International Monetary Fund (IMF). Balance of Payments and International Investment Position Manual (BPM6). Washington, D.C., 2009.
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  8. Malata, A., & Muya, J. (2025). Current Account Sustainability and External Adjustment in the Democratic Republic of Congo. Journal of Economics & Management Research. SRC/JESMR-375. DOI: doi.org/10.47363/JESMR/2025(6)279
  9. Milesi-Ferretti, G. M., & Razin, A. (1996). “Current Account Sustainability.” Princeton Studies in International Finance, No. 81.
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  12. Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD). FDI Qualities Indicators: Measuring the Sustainable Development Impacts of Investment. Various editions.
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This paper provides a comprehensive analysis of current account sustainability in the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC), focusing on the structural determinants of persistent external imbalances and the policy mechanisms required for sustainable adjustment. Drawing on both theoretical and empirical frameworks, the study demonstrates that the DRC’s current account deficit is predominantly structural, rooted in weak economic diversification, chronic service deficits, and significant primary income outflows linked to foreign-owned extractive industries. Using a mixed methodological approach, including descriptive analysis and econometric modeling, the findings reveal that external imbalances are closely tied to domestic structural constraints and limited absorptive capacity. The paper argues that sustainable adjustment requires not only macroeconomic stabilization but also deep structural transformation, including industrial diversification, financial development, and improved allocation of foreign direct investment (FDI). The study contributes to the broader literature on current account sustainability in resource-dependent economies and offers policy recommendations tailored to the Congolese context.

Keywords : Current Account Sustainability; External Imbalances; Structural Deficit; Economic Diversification; Absorptive Capacity; Foreign Direct Investment (FDI); Resource-Dependent Economies; Balance of Payments Adjustment; Financial Development; Democratic Republic of Congo.

Paper Submission Last Date
31 - May - 2026

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