Authors :
Hardik Malpani
Volume/Issue :
Volume 11 - 2026, Issue 6 - June
Google Scholar :
https://tinyurl.com/34jn45yb
Scribd :
https://tinyurl.com/3tjt8jku
DOI :
https://doi.org/10.38124/ijisrt/26jun496
Note : A published paper may take 4-5 working days from the publication date to appear in PlumX Metrics, Semantic Scholar, and ResearchGate.
Abstract :
Commodity markets are important in determining global economic activity and directing investment decisions
between financial markets [1]. The growing co-movements in commodity prices, equities, inflation expectations and
macroeconomic indicators have made commodity analysis one of the most relevant areas of financial research [2]. In this
study, we analyze the relationship of key commodity price movements with financial market aggregate performance
dynamics and establish a strong link between movement in commodity prices and investor sentiments, volatility, and
portfolio diversification strategies. The study adopts quantitative methods of analysis to find patterns, relationships and
markets response across economic scenarios by utilizing secondary market data captured from third-party financial
databases and market data available to the public domain. Results demonstrate that financial markets move considerably
with commodity price changes when uncertainty is high. The paper adds to the literature on the changing role of commodities
in economic and financial systems as investment assets. The work also states that commodity analysis is necessary for
investors, policy makers and financial institutions to help gather information in highly intricate market environments.
Keywords :
Commodity Markets, Financial Markets, Market Volatility, Investment Analysis, Portfolio Diversification, Economic Indicators.
References :
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- J. P. Byrne, G. Fazio and N. Fiess, "Primary commodity prices: Co-movements, common factors and fundamentals," Journal of Development Economics, vol. 101, pp. 16-26, 2013.
- World Bank, "Commodity Markets Outlook," World Bank, 2025.
- H. Redha, "Investment Strategy Insights: A Commodities Comeback," PineBridge Investments, 4 March 2026. [Online]. Available: https://www.pinebridge.com/en/insights/investment-strategy-insights-a-commodities-comeback. [Accessed 03 May 2026 ].
- A. Swinney and G. Liebl, "The Case for Commodities," Morgan Stanley, 29 April 2026. [Online]. Available: https://www.morganstanley.com/insights/articles/commodities-outlook-2026-resilience-through-market-volatility. [Accessed 03 May 2026].
- G. Gorton and K. G. Rouwenhorst, "Facts and Fantasies about Commodity Futures," Financial Analysts Journal, vol. 62, 1 July 2004.
- D. G. Baur and B. M. Lucey, "Is Gold a Hedge or a Safe Haven? An Analysis of Stocks, Bonds and Gold," Financial Review, vol. 45, no. 2, 2010.
- J. D. Hamilton, "Understanding Crude Oil Prices," Energy Journal, vol. 30, no. 2, pp. 179-206, 01 January 2009.
- M. B. Arouxet, A. F. Bariviera, V. E. Pastor and V. Vampa, "Time-frequency co-movements between commodities and global economic policy uncertainty across different crises," Heliyon, vol. 10, no. 14, 2024.
- "Commodity Markets," World Bank Group, [Online]. Available: https://www.worldbank.org/en/research/commodity-markets. [Accessed 05 May 2026].
- "Yahoo Finance," Yahoo, [Online]. Available: https://finance.yahoo.com/. [Accessed 05 May 2026].
- D. D. Sasu, "Average prices for gold worldwide from 2014 to 2024 with a forecast to 2026," 27 November 2025. [Online]. Available: https://www.statista.com/statistics/675890/average-prices-gold-worldwide/. [Accessed 04 May 2026].
- "Crude Oil," TradingEconomics.com, [Online]. Available: https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/crude-oil. [Accessed 08 May 2026].
- K. Aniceto and F. Masai, "The Impact of Geopolitical Factors on Global Oil Prices and Supply Chain Sustainability," International Journal of Supply Chain and Logistics, vol. 9, pp. 67-82, 16 May 2025.
- Y. Bansal, S. Kumar and P. Verma, "Commodity Futures in Portfolio Diversification: Impact on Investor's Utility," Global Business and Management Research: An International Journal, vol. 6, pp. 112-121, 1 January 2014.
- R. Minter, "Commodities and ETFs: A new era of accessible investing," Aberdeen Investments, 21 October 2024. [Online]. Available: https://www.aberdeeninvestments.com/en-us/investor/insights-and-research/commodities-and-etfs-a-new-era-of-accessible-investing. [Accessed 07 May 2026].
- P. E. Mandacı, E. Ç. Cagli and D. Taşkın, "Dynamic Connectedness and Portfolio Strategies: Energy and Metal Markets," Resources Policy, vol. 68, 2020.
- N. T. Hosseinkhani, Geopolitical Turmoil, Supply-Chain Realignment, and Inflation: Commodity Shocks, Trade Fragmentation, and Policy Responses, 2025.
- V. Kuchhal, A. Parti and R. Gupta, "Factors Contributing to the Development of Commodity Futures Market in India," The Management Accountant Journal, vol. 57, no. 4, pp. 91-96, 30 April 2022.
Commodity markets are important in determining global economic activity and directing investment decisions
between financial markets [1]. The growing co-movements in commodity prices, equities, inflation expectations and
macroeconomic indicators have made commodity analysis one of the most relevant areas of financial research [2]. In this
study, we analyze the relationship of key commodity price movements with financial market aggregate performance
dynamics and establish a strong link between movement in commodity prices and investor sentiments, volatility, and
portfolio diversification strategies. The study adopts quantitative methods of analysis to find patterns, relationships and
markets response across economic scenarios by utilizing secondary market data captured from third-party financial
databases and market data available to the public domain. Results demonstrate that financial markets move considerably
with commodity price changes when uncertainty is high. The paper adds to the literature on the changing role of commodities
in economic and financial systems as investment assets. The work also states that commodity analysis is necessary for
investors, policy makers and financial institutions to help gather information in highly intricate market environments.
Keywords :
Commodity Markets, Financial Markets, Market Volatility, Investment Analysis, Portfolio Diversification, Economic Indicators.