Authors :
Prince Kumar
Volume/Issue :
Volume 9 - 2024, Issue 12 - December
Google Scholar :
https://tinyurl.com/py22xnkx
Scribd :
https://tinyurl.com/yfu9jt2m
DOI :
https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.14613845
Abstract :
This study aims to evaluate and compare the
predictive performance of decision trees, random forests,
support vector machines, and neural networks in
forecasting student academic outcomes based on
academic and demographic factors. The research utilizes
a dataset from the UCI Machine Learning Repository,
encompassing student performance data from Portuguese
secondary schools. The results indicate that neural
networks and random forests achieved the highest
accuracy rates of 87.4% and 85.6%, respectively,
suggesting their potential for effective educational
analytics and early intervention strategies. These findings
underscore the importance of leveraging machine
learning techniques to enhance educational outcomes
through targeted support and resource allocation.
References :
- Breiman, L. (2001). Random forests. Machine Learning, 45(1), 5-32. doi:10.1023/A:1010933404324.
- Cortez, P., & Silva, A. M. (2008). Using data mining to predict secondary school student performance. In A. Brito & J. Teixeira (Eds.), Proceedings of 5th FUture BUsiness TEChnology Conference (pp. 5-12). FEUP Edições.
- Huang, Y. M., & Fang, X. (2013). Application of support vector machines on predicting student academic performance. In J. M. Spector, M. D. Merrill, J. Elen, & M. J. Bishop (Eds.), Handbook of Research on Educational Communications and Technology (pp. 421-430). Springer. doi:10.1007/978-1-4614-3185-5_36.
- Yadav, D., Pal, S., & Thakur, P. (2012). Comparative study of data mining algorithms for predicting academic performance. International Journal of Computer Applications, 52(11), 43-48. doi:10.5120/8231-2769.
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- Blikstein, P., & Worsley, M. (2016). Multimodal learning analytics. In Learning Analytics: From Research to Practice (pp. 95-118). Springer.
- Romero, C., & Ventura, S. (2010). Educational data mining: A review of the state of the art. IEEE Transactions on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics, Part C (Applications and Reviews), 40(6), 601-618. doi:10.1109/TSMCC.2010.2053532
- Baker, R. S., & Yacef, K. (Eds.). (2009). The State of Educational Data Mining in 2009: A Review and Future Visions. International Educational Data Mining Society.
- Witten, I. H., Frank, E., Hall, M. A., & Pal, C. J. (2016). Data Mining: Practical Machine Learning Tools and Techniques (4th ed.). Morgan Kaufmann.
- Hastie, T., Tibshirani, R., & Friedman, J. (2009). The Elements of Statistical Learning: Data Mining, Inference, and Prediction (2nd ed.). Springer.
This study aims to evaluate and compare the
predictive performance of decision trees, random forests,
support vector machines, and neural networks in
forecasting student academic outcomes based on
academic and demographic factors. The research utilizes
a dataset from the UCI Machine Learning Repository,
encompassing student performance data from Portuguese
secondary schools. The results indicate that neural
networks and random forests achieved the highest
accuracy rates of 87.4% and 85.6%, respectively,
suggesting their potential for effective educational
analytics and early intervention strategies. These findings
underscore the importance of leveraging machine
learning techniques to enhance educational outcomes
through targeted support and resource allocation.