Authors :
M. Vasuki; Dr.T.Amalraj Victoire; S.Seventhi
Volume/Issue :
Volume 9 - 2024, Issue 5 - May
Google Scholar :
https://tinyurl.com/34jes6zy
Scribd :
https://tinyurl.com/2zhsvdvu
DOI :
https://doi.org/10.38124/ijisrt/IJISRT24MAY645
Note : A published paper may take 4-5 working days from the publication date to appear in PlumX Metrics, Semantic Scholar, and ResearchGate.
Abstract :
Predicting criminal activity has long been a
challenge for law enforcement agencies worldwide.
Traditional methods often rely on historical data and
human intuition, which may be limited in their accuracy
and scope. In recent years, machine learning techniques
have emerged as promising tools for forecasting criminal
activity by leveraging large-scale datasets and advanced
algorithms. This paper presents a novel machine learning
approach to forecasting criminal activity, focusing on the
development and evaluation of predictive models using
various data sources, including crime reports,
demographic information, and environmental factors. We
explore the application of supervised and unsupervised
learning algorithms, such as decision trees, random forests,
support vector machines, and neural networks, to identify
patterns and trends in crime data. Furthermore, we
discuss the challenges and ethical considerations associated
with deploying predictive models in real-world law
enforcement settings, emphasizing the importance of
transparency, fairness, and accountability. Through
empirical analysis and case studies, we demonstrate the
potential of machine learning techniques to enhance crime
prediction and prevention efforts, providing valuable
insights for policymakers, law enforcement agencies, and
researchers in the field of criminal justice.
Keywords :
Predicting Criminal, Machine Learning Techniques, Crime Reports, Demographic Information, Decision Trees, Random Forests, Enforcement Agencies.
References :
- Mohler, G. O., Short, M. B., Malinowski, S., Johnson, M., Tita, G. E., Bertozzi, A. L., & Brantingham, P. J. (2015). Randomized controlled field trials of predictive policing. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 110(512), 1399-1411.
- Santos, R. L., Oliveira, T. A., Santos, R. M., & Prates, M. O. (2018). Crime prediction through urban metrics and statistical learning techniques. Expert Systems with Applications, 113, 83-92.
- Mohler, G. O., Short, M. B., Malinowski, S., Johnson, M., Tita, G. E., Bertozzi, A. L., & Brantingham, P. J. (2011). A model for forecasting the locations of crimes. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 106(496), 147-157.
- Ribeiro, F. N., Santos, J. C., & Oliveira, D. N. (2016). Crime prediction through urban metrics and statistical learning techniques. Expert Systems with Applications, 46, 254-261.
- Caplan, J. M., Kennedy, L. W., & Piza, E. L. (2011). Join the utility of event-dependent of the crime analysis techniques for violent crime forecasting. Crime & Delinquency, 57(2), 192-214.
- Piza, E. L., Feng, S., & Kennedy, L. W. (2017). Short-term forecasting of violent crime: Application to Indianapolis. Journal of Quantitative Criminology, 33(3), 467-488.
- Gerber, M. S., & Johnson, B. D. (2010). Using spatial metrics to predict part I offenses in a medium-sized city. Criminal Justice Review, 35(1), 89-111.
- Ashby, M. P. J., & Bowers, K. J. (2013). The (in) effectiveness of predictive policing: A review and critique. Crime Science, 2(1), 1-12.
- Borrion, H., & Muttaqien, A. (2020). The prospects of predictive policing: A systematic review. Crime Science, 9(1), 1-18.
- Drawve, G., & Taylor, R. B. (2019). Does predictive policing lead to biased arrests? A comparative analysis of Chicago and San Francisco. Crime & Delinquency, 65(5), 569-601.
- Kadar, C. S., Shahid, S., Shafiq, Z., & Malik, M. S. (2019). Crime prediction and analysis using machine learning. International Journal of Scientific & Technology Research, 8(11), 4402-4406.
- Wang, H., & Li, S. (2020). Crime prediction using machine learning algorithms. In International Conference on Artificial Intelligence in Information and Communication (pp. 131-138). Springer, Singapore.
- Tavana, M., & Ha, T. (2017). Crime prediction using data mining techniques: A review. Expert Systems with Applications, 75, 83-100.
- Groff, E. R., & La Vigne, N. G. (2002). Forecasting the future of predictive crime mapping. Crime Mapping, 4, 6-10.
- Wu, C. H., & Chen, Y. C. (2019). A review on crime prediction using machine learning techniques. Computers, Materials & Continua, 59(2), 681-694.
Predicting criminal activity has long been a
challenge for law enforcement agencies worldwide.
Traditional methods often rely on historical data and
human intuition, which may be limited in their accuracy
and scope. In recent years, machine learning techniques
have emerged as promising tools for forecasting criminal
activity by leveraging large-scale datasets and advanced
algorithms. This paper presents a novel machine learning
approach to forecasting criminal activity, focusing on the
development and evaluation of predictive models using
various data sources, including crime reports,
demographic information, and environmental factors. We
explore the application of supervised and unsupervised
learning algorithms, such as decision trees, random forests,
support vector machines, and neural networks, to identify
patterns and trends in crime data. Furthermore, we
discuss the challenges and ethical considerations associated
with deploying predictive models in real-world law
enforcement settings, emphasizing the importance of
transparency, fairness, and accountability. Through
empirical analysis and case studies, we demonstrate the
potential of machine learning techniques to enhance crime
prediction and prevention efforts, providing valuable
insights for policymakers, law enforcement agencies, and
researchers in the field of criminal justice.
Keywords :
Predicting Criminal, Machine Learning Techniques, Crime Reports, Demographic Information, Decision Trees, Random Forests, Enforcement Agencies.