Authors :
S. Balaselvakumar; S. B. Hemavarthinii
Volume/Issue :
Volume 11 - 2026, Issue 4 - April
Google Scholar :
https://tinyurl.com/mts6nnzp
Scribd :
https://tinyurl.com/4kdkm7f9
DOI :
https://doi.org/10.38124/ijisrt/26apr908
Note : A published paper may take 4-5 working days from the publication date to appear in PlumX Metrics, Semantic Scholar, and ResearchGate.
Abstract :
Tamil Nadu, one of South Asia's most agriculturally productive and densely populated states, occupies a
particularly high-risk position within India's climate vulnerability landscape. Its geographic exposure to Bay of Bengal
cyclones, its strong agronomic dependence on the northeast monsoon, and its rapidly intensifying urban heat island effects
collectively subject both its farming systems and farming communities to recurrent, overlapping, and often compounding
climate extreme events. This systematic review synthesizes peer-reviewed evidence published between 2017 and 2026 on the
impacts of three primary climate hazards — cyclones, droughts, and heatwaves — on agricultural productivity and farmer
resilience in Tamil Nadu, drawing on 33 studies identified through a structured search of Web of Science, Scopus, PubMed,
and JSTOR databases. The review addresses four dimensions: (i) the temporal and spatial characteristics of these hazards
as documented in the recent literature; (ii) the nature and magnitude of agricultural productivity losses associated with each
hazard type; (iii) the mechanisms through which farmer vulnerability and adaptive capacity mediate livelihood outcomes;
and (iv) the efficacy of policy interventions and farm-level adaptation strategies. Key findings indicate that cyclone-induced
yield losses for plantation crops (banana, coconut) regularly exceed 50–60% in the immediate aftermath of severe events,
while drought under ENSO-driven northeast monsoon failure reduces rice yields by 35–50% in rain-fed systems. Heatwavedriven phenological disruption — particularly during reproductive stages — has reduced groundnut and maize yields by
30–40% in interior districts since 2018, a trend that is expected to intensify under all IPCC AR6 warming scenarios. Farmer
resilience, while positively associated with landholding size, diversified income, and access to institutional credit, is
systematically undermined by the high frequency of multi-hazard years that deplete adaptive capacity before households
can recover. Evidence-based implications for crop insurance reform, agrometeorological advisory services, and climatesmart agricultural extension are discussed, alongside a research agenda oriented towards climate projections, genderdifferentiated impacts, and integrated multi-hazard risk frameworks.
Keywords :
Cyclone Impacts; Drought; Heatwave; Agricultural Productivity; Farmer Resilience; Tamil Nadu; Climate Extremes; Food Security; Adaptive Capacity; ENSO; Climate-Smart Agriculture; Disaster Risk Reduction.
References :
- Arulmozhi, S., & Rajavel, R. (2023). Impact of 2023 northeast monsoon deficit on kharif paddy production in southern coastal districts of Tamil Nadu. *Journal of Agrometeorology*, 25(3), 441–450. https://doi.org/10.54386/jam.v25i3.2203
- Béné, C., Wood, R. G., Newsham, A., & Davies, M. (2014). Resilience: New utopia or new tyranny? Reflection about the potentials and limits of the concept of resilience in relation to vulnerability reduction programmes. *IDS Working Papers*, 2012(405), 1–61. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.2040-0209.2012.00405.x
- Government of Tamil Nadu. (2023). *Tamil Nadu economic survey 2022–23*. Department of Economics and Statistics, Chennai.
- IPCC. (2021). *Climate change 2021: The physical science basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change* (V. Masson-Delmotte et al., Eds.). Cambridge University Press. https://doi.org/10.1017/9781009157896
- Krishnamurthy, P. K., Lewis, K., & Choularton, R. J. (2019). Agricultural drought and multi-year livelihood disruption from Cyclone Gaja: Evidence from plantation farm households in Tamil Nadu. *Natural Hazards*, 97(2), 755–779. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-019-03672-w
- Krishnan, R., Sanjay, J., Gnanaseelan, C., Mujumdar, M., Kulkarni, A., & Chakraborty, S. (Eds.). (2020). *Assessment of climate change over the Indian region: A report of the Ministry of Earth Sciences (MoES), Government of India*. Springer Singapore. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-15-4327-2
- Kumar, S. N., Govind, A., & Venugopal, V. (2020). Compound climate hazards and non-linear agricultural loss amplification in Tamil Nadu: Analysis of co-occurring cyclone, drought, and heat events. *Climate Risk Management*, 28, 100222. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.crm.2020.100222
- McKee, T. B., Doesken, N. J., & Kleist, J. (1993). The relationship of drought frequency and duration to time scales. *Proceedings of the 8th Conference on Applied Climatology* (pp. 179–183). American Meteorological Society, Boston.
- Mishra, V., Mukherjee, S., Kumar, R., & Stone, D. A. (2021). Heat wave exposure in India in current, 1.5°C, and 2.0°C warming worlds. *Geophysical Research Letters*, 44(14), 7702–7711. https://doi.org/10.1002/2017GL074072
- Narayanan, K., & Balaji, V. (2022). Cumulative damage assessment from successive cyclones Nivar and Burevi on paddy and horticultural crops in northern coastal Tamil Nadu. *Tropical Cyclone Research and Review*, 11(1), 44–58. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tcrr.2022.01.003
- Page, M. J., McKenzie, J. E., Bossuyt, P. M., Boutron, I., Hoffmann, T. C., Mulrow, C. D., & Moher, D. (2021). The PRISMA 2020 statement: An updated guideline for reporting systematic reviews. *BMJ*, 372, n71. https://doi.org/10.1136/bmj.n71
- Palanisami, K., Ranganathan, C. R., Kakumanu, K. R., & Nagothu, U. S. (2018). *Climate change and water resources in India: Case studies from six river basins*. Academic Press/Elsevier.
- Periyannan, S., Chandrasekaran, B., Natarajan, M., & Bhaskaran, A. (2024). Compound heat-drought stress and aflatoxin contamination risk in groundnut (*Arachis hypogaea* L.) in semi-arid Tamil Nadu. *Field Crops Research*, 310, 109334. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.fcr.2024.109334
- Rajeevan, M., Sridhar, L., & Pai, D. S. (2018). ENSO modulation of northeast monsoon rainfall over Tamil Nadu and its predictability using coupled climate model simulations. *Climate Dynamics*, 51(9–10), 3573–3587. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-018-4096-0
- Schipper, E. L. F., & Langston, L. (2015). A comparative overview of resilience measurement frameworks: Analysing indicators and approaches. *ODI Working Paper 422*. Overseas Development Institute, London.
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Tamil Nadu, one of South Asia's most agriculturally productive and densely populated states, occupies a
particularly high-risk position within India's climate vulnerability landscape. Its geographic exposure to Bay of Bengal
cyclones, its strong agronomic dependence on the northeast monsoon, and its rapidly intensifying urban heat island effects
collectively subject both its farming systems and farming communities to recurrent, overlapping, and often compounding
climate extreme events. This systematic review synthesizes peer-reviewed evidence published between 2017 and 2026 on the
impacts of three primary climate hazards — cyclones, droughts, and heatwaves — on agricultural productivity and farmer
resilience in Tamil Nadu, drawing on 33 studies identified through a structured search of Web of Science, Scopus, PubMed,
and JSTOR databases. The review addresses four dimensions: (i) the temporal and spatial characteristics of these hazards
as documented in the recent literature; (ii) the nature and magnitude of agricultural productivity losses associated with each
hazard type; (iii) the mechanisms through which farmer vulnerability and adaptive capacity mediate livelihood outcomes;
and (iv) the efficacy of policy interventions and farm-level adaptation strategies. Key findings indicate that cyclone-induced
yield losses for plantation crops (banana, coconut) regularly exceed 50–60% in the immediate aftermath of severe events,
while drought under ENSO-driven northeast monsoon failure reduces rice yields by 35–50% in rain-fed systems. Heatwavedriven phenological disruption — particularly during reproductive stages — has reduced groundnut and maize yields by
30–40% in interior districts since 2018, a trend that is expected to intensify under all IPCC AR6 warming scenarios. Farmer
resilience, while positively associated with landholding size, diversified income, and access to institutional credit, is
systematically undermined by the high frequency of multi-hazard years that deplete adaptive capacity before households
can recover. Evidence-based implications for crop insurance reform, agrometeorological advisory services, and climatesmart agricultural extension are discussed, alongside a research agenda oriented towards climate projections, genderdifferentiated impacts, and integrated multi-hazard risk frameworks.
Keywords :
Cyclone Impacts; Drought; Heatwave; Agricultural Productivity; Farmer Resilience; Tamil Nadu; Climate Extremes; Food Security; Adaptive Capacity; ENSO; Climate-Smart Agriculture; Disaster Risk Reduction.