Machine Learning Models for Predicting Heart Disease from Patient Data


Authors : Ezzelddin Shoary

Volume/Issue : Volume 10 - 2025, Issue 9 - September


Google Scholar : https://tinyurl.com/436y347e

Scribd : https://tinyurl.com/ypkb5mjd

DOI : https://doi.org/10.38124/ijisrt/25sep429

Note : A published paper may take 4-5 working days from the publication date to appear in PlumX Metrics, Semantic Scholar, and ResearchGate.

Note : Google Scholar may take 30 to 40 days to display the article.


Abstract : Heart disease is among the foremost causes of mortality and morbidity worldwide, claiming an estimated 18 million lives annually. With the growing volume of healthcare data generated from clinical examinations, laboratory reports, and electronic health records, machine learning (ML) has emerged as a transformative approach for early disease prediction and risk stratification. This research investigates six supervised ML algorithms—Logistic Regression, Decision Tree, Random Forest, Support Vector Machine (SVM), Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost), and Artificial Neural Network (ANN)—applied to the Cleveland Heart Disease dataset. A comprehensive pipeline encompassing data preprocessing, model optimization, and cross-validation was implemented. Performance was measured using multiple metrics, including accuracy, precision, recall, F1-score, and ROC-AUC. Results indicate that ensemble and deep learning approaches substantially outperform linear models, with XGBoost achieving the highest overall predictive power (accuracy = 90.2%, ROC-AUC = 0.94). Beyond raw performance, the study emphasizes the ethical imperatives of interpretability, fairness, and clinical trust in deploying ML systems in healthcare. Findings support the integration of ML-based tools into clinical practice for early cardiovascular diagnosis and patient-specific risk management.

Keywords : Heart Disease Prediction, Machine Learning, Artificial Intelligence, Healthcare Analytics, Cardiovascular Diagnosis, Explainable AI.

References :

  1. Chen, T., & Guestrin, C. (2016). XGBoost: A scalable tree boosting system. Proceedings of the 22nd ACM SIGKDD Conference on Knowledge Discovery and Data Mining, 785–794.
  2. Doshi-Velez, F., & Kim, B. (2017). Towards a rigorous science of interpretable machine learning. arXiv preprint arXiv:1702.08608.
  3. World Health Organization. (2024). Cardiovascular diseases (CVDs): Key facts. https://www.who.int/news-room/fact-sheets/detail/cardiovascular-diseases-(cvds).
  4. Zhang, Y., Li, H., & Zhou, M. (2022). Deep learning approaches for automated cardiac diagnosis: A comprehensive review. Computer Methods and Programs in Biomedicine, 215, 106636.

Heart disease is among the foremost causes of mortality and morbidity worldwide, claiming an estimated 18 million lives annually. With the growing volume of healthcare data generated from clinical examinations, laboratory reports, and electronic health records, machine learning (ML) has emerged as a transformative approach for early disease prediction and risk stratification. This research investigates six supervised ML algorithms—Logistic Regression, Decision Tree, Random Forest, Support Vector Machine (SVM), Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost), and Artificial Neural Network (ANN)—applied to the Cleveland Heart Disease dataset. A comprehensive pipeline encompassing data preprocessing, model optimization, and cross-validation was implemented. Performance was measured using multiple metrics, including accuracy, precision, recall, F1-score, and ROC-AUC. Results indicate that ensemble and deep learning approaches substantially outperform linear models, with XGBoost achieving the highest overall predictive power (accuracy = 90.2%, ROC-AUC = 0.94). Beyond raw performance, the study emphasizes the ethical imperatives of interpretability, fairness, and clinical trust in deploying ML systems in healthcare. Findings support the integration of ML-based tools into clinical practice for early cardiovascular diagnosis and patient-specific risk management.

Keywords : Heart Disease Prediction, Machine Learning, Artificial Intelligence, Healthcare Analytics, Cardiovascular Diagnosis, Explainable AI.

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Paper Submission Last Date
31 - December - 2025

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