Mathematical Analysis of Hepatitis B Virus Dynamics with Vertical Transmission


Authors : Afolabi, Williams Oluwasegun; Johnson, Adedayo Simeon

Volume/Issue : Volume 10 - 2025, Issue 11 - November


Google Scholar : https://tinyurl.com/uye97b3e

Scribd : https://tinyurl.com/52x359fr

DOI : https://doi.org/10.38124/ijisrt/25nov207

Note : A published paper may take 4-5 working days from the publication date to appear in PlumX Metrics, Semantic Scholar, and ResearchGate.


Abstract : The dynamics of Hepatitis B virus remains endemic in the population despite the availability of a potent vaccine against the infection. Thus, there is the need for continuous efforts to eradicate the disease in order to forestall its spread. In this study, a model that explains the dynamics of Hepatitis B with vertical transmission was formulated, and an intervention to minimize its effects was proferred. A six-compartmental model comprising of a Susceptible S(t), Exposed E(t), Infected I(t), Treated T(t), Vaccinated V(t), and Recovered R(t) was formulated. The model’s well-posedness was established through positivity, boundedness, and uniqueness of solutions. The disease-free equilibrium was determined by setting the infection force to zero, and the basic reproduction number (R0) was derived using the next generation matrix method. Local stability analysis showed the disease-free equilibrium is stable when R0 < 1. Presence of disease was confirmed by analyzing the endemic equilibrium, which was globally stable when R0 > 1, as demonstrated using Lyapunov functions. The global stability analysis of endemic equilibrium point of the model was obtained using the Lyapunov functions and the sensitivity analysis identified the birth rate and vaccination rate as the most influential parameters on R0, with birth rate increasing and vaccination decreasing disease spread. Graphical results highlighted that failure to vaccinate newborns significantly raises the risk of chronic infection. The study emphasizes vertical transmission as the primary and deadliest infection pathway. Consequently, it recommends enhanced public awareness, focused screening, and vaccination efforts, especially targeting pregnant women, to reduce Hepatitis B transmission and aid eradication.

Keywords : Hepatitis B Virus, Analysis, Lipschitz Condition, Lyapunov Function, Disease.

References :

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The dynamics of Hepatitis B virus remains endemic in the population despite the availability of a potent vaccine against the infection. Thus, there is the need for continuous efforts to eradicate the disease in order to forestall its spread. In this study, a model that explains the dynamics of Hepatitis B with vertical transmission was formulated, and an intervention to minimize its effects was proferred. A six-compartmental model comprising of a Susceptible S(t), Exposed E(t), Infected I(t), Treated T(t), Vaccinated V(t), and Recovered R(t) was formulated. The model’s well-posedness was established through positivity, boundedness, and uniqueness of solutions. The disease-free equilibrium was determined by setting the infection force to zero, and the basic reproduction number (R0) was derived using the next generation matrix method. Local stability analysis showed the disease-free equilibrium is stable when R0 < 1. Presence of disease was confirmed by analyzing the endemic equilibrium, which was globally stable when R0 > 1, as demonstrated using Lyapunov functions. The global stability analysis of endemic equilibrium point of the model was obtained using the Lyapunov functions and the sensitivity analysis identified the birth rate and vaccination rate as the most influential parameters on R0, with birth rate increasing and vaccination decreasing disease spread. Graphical results highlighted that failure to vaccinate newborns significantly raises the risk of chronic infection. The study emphasizes vertical transmission as the primary and deadliest infection pathway. Consequently, it recommends enhanced public awareness, focused screening, and vaccination efforts, especially targeting pregnant women, to reduce Hepatitis B transmission and aid eradication.

Keywords : Hepatitis B Virus, Analysis, Lipschitz Condition, Lyapunov Function, Disease.

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Paper Submission Last Date
31 - January - 2026

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