Authors :
Freeman Aye-Agele
Volume/Issue :
Volume 10 - 2025, Issue 12 - December
Google Scholar :
https://tinyurl.com/ma2h63rx
Scribd :
https://tinyurl.com/y44avmrk
DOI :
https://doi.org/10.38124/ijisrt/25dec532
Note : A published paper may take 4-5 working days from the publication date to appear in PlumX Metrics, Semantic Scholar, and ResearchGate.
Abstract :
This study investigates the nexus of trade openness and industrial sector on human capital development in Nigeria,
Côte d’Ivoire, and Togo over the period 1994 to 2023. This study examines the relationship between trade openness,
industrial sector, and human capital development in the selected West African countries using a quantitative panel data
method. Variables of the study include Human Capital Index (HCI) as the dependent variable while Trade Openness (% of
GDP), Industrial share (% of GDP) and Interaction term between Trade Openness and Industrial Value Added as
independent variables. The study utilized data from the World Bank’s World Development Indicators and relevant country
statistical agencies. The findings shows that trade openness (β = 0.0042), and industrial sector (β = 0.0060 individually
contribute positively to human capital development. However, the significant negative interaction result between trade
openness and industrial share (-.00009) indicates that the benefits of trade openness on human capital diminish as the
industrial sector grows larger. Based on the findings, this study recommends that policymakers should design trade and
industrial policies that complement rather than substitute each other. Furthermore, to mitigate the negative interaction
effect, targeted investments in skill development aligned with industrial diversification can enhance the absorptive capacity
of the workforce and ensure more inclusive human capital benefits from trade.
Keywords :
Trade, Industrial Sector, Investment, Human Capital Development.
References :
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- African Development Bank Group (AfDB). (2023). Country Strategy Paper: Côte d’Ivoire 2023 2028. Abidjan: AfDB.
- Balogun, M. A., Tella, S. A., Adelowokan, O. A., Ogede, J. S., & Adegboyega, S. B. (2024). Achieving sustainable development in ECOWAS countries: The impact of trade openness, poverty and human capital. Future Business Journal, 10(78).
- Barro, R. J. (2001). Human capital and growth. American Economic Review, 91(2), 12–17.
- Becker, G. S. (1993). Human Capital: A Theoretical and Empirical Analysis with Special Reference to Education (3rd ed.). University of Chicago Press.
- Barro, R. J. (1999). Inequality and Growth in a Panel of Countries. Journal of Economic Growth, 4(1), 27 49.
- Chabi, P. & Saygılı, R. F. (2024). Trade openness and structural change dynamics in West African countries. Journal of Economic Structures, 13, 6. https://doi.org/10.1186/s40008-023-00324
- Choramo, T. T., Abafita, J., Gandica, Y., & Rocha, L. E. C. (2024). Economic Integration of Africa in the 21st Century: Complex Network and Panel Regression Analysis (Working paper / pre-print). arXiv. https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2410.21019
- Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS). (2021). Human Development in West Africa: Regional overview and policy implications.
- Ewane, E. B., & Ewane, E. I. (2024). Human capital development and industrial sector growth in Sub Saharan African countries: An augmented pooled mean group estimator. Arab Economic and Business Journal, 16(2), Article 2.
- Felipe, J., & Hasan, R. (2006). Trade, industrialization, and human capital accumulation. Journal of Development Economics, 81(2), 267–281.
- Grossman, G. M., & Helpman, E. (1991). Innovation and Growth in the Global Economy. MIT Press.
- Kramo, K. G. (2022). Effect of trade openness on productivity in Côte d’Ivoire. European Scientific Journal, ESJ, 18(15), 76. https://doi.org/10.19044/esj.2022.v18n15p76
- Kuznets, S. (1966). Modern economic growth: Rate, structure, and spread. Yale University Press.
- OECD. (2006). Economic Policy Reforms 2006: Going for Growth. OECD Publishing
- Oshota, S. O., & Wahab, B. A. (2022). Institutional quality and intra-regional trade flows: Evidence from Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS). Journal of African Trade, 9(1), 73-106. https://doi.org/10.1007/s44232-022-00005-9
- Olanrele, I. A., & Oshota, S. O. (2025). Assessing the impact of international trade on human development outcomes in Nigeria. Future Business Journal, 11(1), Article 110. https://doi.org/10.1186/s43093-025-00517-7
- Oloke, E., Faseesin, O., Johnson, A. A., Awofala, H. T., & Aderemi, T. A. (2022). Nexus between Foreign Capital Inflows and Human Capital Development in Nigeria. EuroEconomica, 41(2), 67 77.
- Romer, P. M. (1990). “Human Capital and Growth: Theory and Evidence.” Carnegie Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy, 32(1), 251 286
- Schultz, T. W. (1961). Investment in human capital. American Economic Review, 51(1), 1–17.
- Torres, C., & van Seters, J. (2016). Overview of trade and barriers to trade in West Africa (Discussion Paper No. 195). ECDPM.
- UNDP. (2021). Human Development Report 2021. United Nations Development Programme.
- World Bank. (2022). Togo Country Economic Memorandum: February 2022 (Report No. P174741). Washington, DC: World Bank
This study investigates the nexus of trade openness and industrial sector on human capital development in Nigeria,
Côte d’Ivoire, and Togo over the period 1994 to 2023. This study examines the relationship between trade openness,
industrial sector, and human capital development in the selected West African countries using a quantitative panel data
method. Variables of the study include Human Capital Index (HCI) as the dependent variable while Trade Openness (% of
GDP), Industrial share (% of GDP) and Interaction term between Trade Openness and Industrial Value Added as
independent variables. The study utilized data from the World Bank’s World Development Indicators and relevant country
statistical agencies. The findings shows that trade openness (β = 0.0042), and industrial sector (β = 0.0060 individually
contribute positively to human capital development. However, the significant negative interaction result between trade
openness and industrial share (-.00009) indicates that the benefits of trade openness on human capital diminish as the
industrial sector grows larger. Based on the findings, this study recommends that policymakers should design trade and
industrial policies that complement rather than substitute each other. Furthermore, to mitigate the negative interaction
effect, targeted investments in skill development aligned with industrial diversification can enhance the absorptive capacity
of the workforce and ensure more inclusive human capital benefits from trade.
Keywords :
Trade, Industrial Sector, Investment, Human Capital Development.