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Predictive Analytics for Forecasting Chemical Raw Material Imports and Inventory Optimization in Paint, Ink and Plastics Manufacturing


Authors : Obadina A. Babatunde

Volume/Issue : Volume 11 - 2026, Issue 7 - July


Google Scholar : https://tinyurl.com/4sr3bmvm

Scribd : https://tinyurl.com/mttdjb3u

DOI : https://doi.org/10.38124/ijisrt/26jul1065

Note : A published paper may take 4-5 working days from the publication date to appear in PlumX Metrics, Semantic Scholar, and ResearchGate.


Abstract : Resins, pigments (titanium dioxide), solvents, plasticizers, and petrochemical monomers are a small range of internationally traded chemical feedstocks whose lead times and prices are highly volatile and critical to the paint, ink, and plastics manufacturing industries. This paper investigates and discusses the possibility of using predictive analytics, including classic time-series econometrics, machine learning, and reinforcement learning techniques, to predict import needs for chemical raw materials and to optimize inventory decisions in the chemical value chain. Based on the peer-reviewed literature in operations research, the paper summarizes methodologies, industry evidence, and architectures for linking forecasting outputs to inventory management policies such as the economic order quantity (EOQ) model, dynamic safety stock, and multi-echelon optimization. The practical challenges related to data quality, organisational preparedness and the volatility resulting from geopolitical and logistical uncertainty are also discussed, followed by managerial recommendations for resin, pigment and solvent-intensive manufacturing procurement and supply chain functions.

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Resins, pigments (titanium dioxide), solvents, plasticizers, and petrochemical monomers are a small range of internationally traded chemical feedstocks whose lead times and prices are highly volatile and critical to the paint, ink, and plastics manufacturing industries. This paper investigates and discusses the possibility of using predictive analytics, including classic time-series econometrics, machine learning, and reinforcement learning techniques, to predict import needs for chemical raw materials and to optimize inventory decisions in the chemical value chain. Based on the peer-reviewed literature in operations research, the paper summarizes methodologies, industry evidence, and architectures for linking forecasting outputs to inventory management policies such as the economic order quantity (EOQ) model, dynamic safety stock, and multi-echelon optimization. The practical challenges related to data quality, organisational preparedness and the volatility resulting from geopolitical and logistical uncertainty are also discussed, followed by managerial recommendations for resin, pigment and solvent-intensive manufacturing procurement and supply chain functions.

Paper Submission Last Date
31 - August - 2026

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