Stacked Ensemble Machine Learning Techniques based Predictive Modelling of Crop Yields


Authors : Bhavani R ; Abinaya P ; Maithili R ; Reshma Masutha A ; Sivaranjani K

Volume/Issue : Volume 10 - 2025, Issue 5 - May


Google Scholar : https://tinyurl.com/bp6hf556

DOI : https://doi.org/10.38124/ijisrt/25may118

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Abstract : Agriculture is crucial for food security and economic stability in India, where a most of the population relies on farming. Accurate crop yield prediction is essential for informed planning, efficient resource allocation, and maximizing agricultural productivity. This paper proposes a novel approach for predicting crop yield using an ensemble learning model. The proposed system utilizes historical agricultural data—including district, crop_year, season, area, and production for Tamil Nadu. The stacking ensemble model proposed in this paper integrates K-Nearest Neighbors Regressor and Multiple Linear Regressor as base learner and Decision Tree Regressor as the meta-learner. This ensemble approach enhances prediction performance by leveraging the strengths of each individual model while minimizing their weaknesses. Experimental results, evaluated using R-squared (R 2 ) metrics, show that the Stacked Ensemble Regressor outperforms standalone models in terms of accuracy. This system offers strong decision-making support for farmers and agricultural stakeholders, helping them make informed, data-driven choices that enhance sustainability and efficiency in farming.

Keywords : Crop Yield Prediction, Ensemble Learning, Agriculture Data, K-Nearest Neighbors, Decision Tree Regressor, R- Squared Metrics.

References :

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  2. Ramesh, D. and Vardhan, B.V., 2015. Analysis of crop yield prediction using data mining techniques. International Journal of research in engineering and technology, 4(1), pp.47-473.
  3. Pant, J., Pant, R.P., Singh, M.K., Singh, D.P. and Pant, H., 2021. Analysis of agricultural crop yield prediction using statistical techniques of machine learning. Materials Today: Proceedings, 46, pp.10922-10926.
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  7. Vijay, N.U., Pandiyan, A.M., Raja, S.P. and Stamenkovic, Z., 2024. Machine learning-based crop yield prediction in south India: performance analysis of various models. Computers 13 (6), 137 [Digests 9th Annual Conf. Magnetics Japan, p. 301, 1982].

Agriculture is crucial for food security and economic stability in India, where a most of the population relies on farming. Accurate crop yield prediction is essential for informed planning, efficient resource allocation, and maximizing agricultural productivity. This paper proposes a novel approach for predicting crop yield using an ensemble learning model. The proposed system utilizes historical agricultural data—including district, crop_year, season, area, and production for Tamil Nadu. The stacking ensemble model proposed in this paper integrates K-Nearest Neighbors Regressor and Multiple Linear Regressor as base learner and Decision Tree Regressor as the meta-learner. This ensemble approach enhances prediction performance by leveraging the strengths of each individual model while minimizing their weaknesses. Experimental results, evaluated using R-squared (R 2 ) metrics, show that the Stacked Ensemble Regressor outperforms standalone models in terms of accuracy. This system offers strong decision-making support for farmers and agricultural stakeholders, helping them make informed, data-driven choices that enhance sustainability and efficiency in farming.

Keywords : Crop Yield Prediction, Ensemble Learning, Agriculture Data, K-Nearest Neighbors, Decision Tree Regressor, R- Squared Metrics.

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