Authors :
Bhavani R ; Abinaya P ; Maithili R ; Reshma Masutha A ; Sivaranjani K
Volume/Issue :
Volume 10 - 2025, Issue 5 - May
Google Scholar :
https://tinyurl.com/bp6hf556
DOI :
https://doi.org/10.38124/ijisrt/25may118
Google Scholar
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Abstract :
Agriculture is crucial for food security and economic stability in India, where a most of the population relies on
farming. Accurate crop yield prediction is essential for informed planning, efficient resource allocation, and maximizing
agricultural productivity. This paper proposes a novel approach for predicting crop yield using an ensemble learning
model. The proposed system utilizes historical agricultural data—including district, crop_year, season, area, and
production for Tamil Nadu. The stacking ensemble model proposed in this paper integrates K-Nearest Neighbors
Regressor and Multiple Linear Regressor as base learner and Decision Tree Regressor as the meta-learner. This ensemble
approach enhances prediction performance by leveraging the strengths of each individual model while minimizing their
weaknesses. Experimental results, evaluated using R-squared (R
2
) metrics, show that the Stacked Ensemble Regressor
outperforms standalone models in terms of accuracy. This system offers strong decision-making support for farmers and
agricultural stakeholders, helping them make informed, data-driven choices that enhance sustainability and efficiency in
farming.
Keywords :
Crop Yield Prediction, Ensemble Learning, Agriculture Data, K-Nearest Neighbors, Decision Tree Regressor, R- Squared Metrics.
References :
- Lobell, D.B. and Burke, M.B., 2010. On the use of statistical models to predict crop yield responses to climate change. Agricultural and forest meteorology, 150(11), pp.1443-1452.
- Ramesh, D. and Vardhan, B.V., 2015. Analysis of crop yield prediction using data mining techniques. International Journal of research in engineering and technology, 4(1), pp.47-473.
- Pant, J., Pant, R.P., Singh, M.K., Singh, D.P. and Pant, H., 2021. Analysis of agricultural crop yield prediction using statistical techniques of machine learning. Materials Today: Proceedings, 46, pp.10922-10926.
- Ansarifar, J., Wang, L. and Archontoulis, S.V., 2021. An interaction regression model for crop yield prediction. Scientific reports, 11(1), p.17754.
- Patil, P., Athavale, P., Bothara, M., Tambolkar, S. and More, A., 2023. Crop selection and Yield Prediction using machine learning approach. Current Agriculture Research Journal, 11(3).
- Sadenova, M., Beisekenov, N., Varbanov, P.S. and Pan, T., 2023. Application of machine learning and neural networks to predict the yield of cereals, legumes, oilseeds and forage crops in Kazakhstan. Agriculture, 13(6), p.1195.
- Vijay, N.U., Pandiyan, A.M., Raja, S.P. and Stamenkovic, Z., 2024. Machine learning-based crop yield prediction in south India: performance analysis of various models. Computers 13 (6), 137 [Digests 9th Annual Conf. Magnetics Japan, p. 301, 1982].
Agriculture is crucial for food security and economic stability in India, where a most of the population relies on
farming. Accurate crop yield prediction is essential for informed planning, efficient resource allocation, and maximizing
agricultural productivity. This paper proposes a novel approach for predicting crop yield using an ensemble learning
model. The proposed system utilizes historical agricultural data—including district, crop_year, season, area, and
production for Tamil Nadu. The stacking ensemble model proposed in this paper integrates K-Nearest Neighbors
Regressor and Multiple Linear Regressor as base learner and Decision Tree Regressor as the meta-learner. This ensemble
approach enhances prediction performance by leveraging the strengths of each individual model while minimizing their
weaknesses. Experimental results, evaluated using R-squared (R
2
) metrics, show that the Stacked Ensemble Regressor
outperforms standalone models in terms of accuracy. This system offers strong decision-making support for farmers and
agricultural stakeholders, helping them make informed, data-driven choices that enhance sustainability and efficiency in
farming.
Keywords :
Crop Yield Prediction, Ensemble Learning, Agriculture Data, K-Nearest Neighbors, Decision Tree Regressor, R- Squared Metrics.