Statistical Models for Prediction of Treatment Response Patterns among Diverse Ethnic Populations with Breast Cancer


Authors : Joseph Kobi; Millicent Naa Oye Boadu; Dorothy Honny Bendah; Bernard Afoakwah; Dr. Brian Otieno Odhiambo

Volume/Issue : Volume 10 - 2025, Issue 2 - February


Google Scholar : https://tinyurl.com/3beta3uu

Scribd : https://tinyurl.com/yc4mpk34

DOI : https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.14937080


Abstract : Introduction: The treatment response patterns for breast cancer exhibit substantial variations between different ethnic groups among the America's population. Research examining whole populations shows major variations exist between racial and ethnic groups regarding their incidence rates as well as death rates and survival possibilities. Statistical modeling represents an essential framework to study treatment patterns and forecast treatment results. Current epidemiological research documents a steady 0.5% growth of breast cancer incident cases within hormone receptor-positive localized-stage diseases but shows decreasing death statistics from 1989 onward.  Materials and Methods: A wide-ranging breast cancer data study utilized multiple statistical modeling procedures for its assessment. The distribution among populations became clear by analyzing breast cancer subtype patterns with immunohistochemistry tests which identified the presence of luminal A, luminal B, basal-like, and HER2+/ER- cancer types. A combination of complex statistical methods analyzed treatment response patterns including tumor traits and molecular subtype information together with patient demographics and clinical data results.  Results: The analysis found Black women experienced increased deaths by 40% than White women even though their breast cancer incidence levels remained at 127.8 per 100,000 below White women's 133.7 rate. Detailed numbers show that Basal- like breast cancer affected 39% of premenopausal African American women yet only 14% of postmenopausal African American women and 16% of non-African American women experienced this cancer type. The survival outcomes for Black and White populations differed by 8% for those with hormone receptor-positive/HER2-negative disease (88% survival for Blacks compared to 96% for Whites).  Discussion: The systematic analysis through predictive modeling uncovered separate response patterns in treatments when evaluating different ethnic groups while showing the varying healthcare availability and affects. Statistics revealed the molecular subtypes' survival durations differed noticeably as HER2+/ER- and basal-like examples had the most rapid disease progression. Analysis revealed prolonged treatments weren't equitable for younger Black females below 50 due to biological and socioeconomic influences which accumulated persistently across groups.  Conclusion: Statistical modeling approaches deliver important findings concerning the treatment response pathways that ethnic groups experience after breast cancer diagnosis. The modeling results demonstrate persistent ethnic inequalities together with different therapeutic results by molecular subtype therefore requiring targeted healthcare system reforms. Statistical modeling of these patterns will enhance understanding for creating personalized treatment strategies which in turn improves outcomes for every demographic group.

Keywords : Breast Cancer, Statistical Models, Ethnic Populations, Treatment Response, Racial Disparities, Molecular Subtypes, Prognosis Indicators, Mammography Screening, Hormone Receptor Status.

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Introduction: The treatment response patterns for breast cancer exhibit substantial variations between different ethnic groups among the America's population. Research examining whole populations shows major variations exist between racial and ethnic groups regarding their incidence rates as well as death rates and survival possibilities. Statistical modeling represents an essential framework to study treatment patterns and forecast treatment results. Current epidemiological research documents a steady 0.5% growth of breast cancer incident cases within hormone receptor-positive localized-stage diseases but shows decreasing death statistics from 1989 onward.  Materials and Methods: A wide-ranging breast cancer data study utilized multiple statistical modeling procedures for its assessment. The distribution among populations became clear by analyzing breast cancer subtype patterns with immunohistochemistry tests which identified the presence of luminal A, luminal B, basal-like, and HER2+/ER- cancer types. A combination of complex statistical methods analyzed treatment response patterns including tumor traits and molecular subtype information together with patient demographics and clinical data results.  Results: The analysis found Black women experienced increased deaths by 40% than White women even though their breast cancer incidence levels remained at 127.8 per 100,000 below White women's 133.7 rate. Detailed numbers show that Basal- like breast cancer affected 39% of premenopausal African American women yet only 14% of postmenopausal African American women and 16% of non-African American women experienced this cancer type. The survival outcomes for Black and White populations differed by 8% for those with hormone receptor-positive/HER2-negative disease (88% survival for Blacks compared to 96% for Whites).  Discussion: The systematic analysis through predictive modeling uncovered separate response patterns in treatments when evaluating different ethnic groups while showing the varying healthcare availability and affects. Statistics revealed the molecular subtypes' survival durations differed noticeably as HER2+/ER- and basal-like examples had the most rapid disease progression. Analysis revealed prolonged treatments weren't equitable for younger Black females below 50 due to biological and socioeconomic influences which accumulated persistently across groups.  Conclusion: Statistical modeling approaches deliver important findings concerning the treatment response pathways that ethnic groups experience after breast cancer diagnosis. The modeling results demonstrate persistent ethnic inequalities together with different therapeutic results by molecular subtype therefore requiring targeted healthcare system reforms. Statistical modeling of these patterns will enhance understanding for creating personalized treatment strategies which in turn improves outcomes for every demographic group.

Keywords : Breast Cancer, Statistical Models, Ethnic Populations, Treatment Response, Racial Disparities, Molecular Subtypes, Prognosis Indicators, Mammography Screening, Hormone Receptor Status.

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