Trend Analysis of Road Traffic Accidents in Port Harcourt, Rivers State, Nigeria


Authors : Tpl. Sunday I. Bassey; Perpetual O. Emmanuel

Volume/Issue : Volume 6 - 2021, Issue 12 - December

Google Scholar : http://bitly.ws/gu88

Scribd : https://bit.ly/3GyczeS

This study is focused on examining the trendand pattern of road traffic accidents in Port Harcourt, Rivers State, Nigeria over time (from 2005 to 2019). Using the time series analysis, the study revealed the direction or pattern of road traffic accidents in Port Harcourt. Both primary and secondary sources of data on road traffic crashes were utilized. Periodic documentary reports from the Federal Road Safety Office, Port Harcourt formed greater percentage of the secondary sources of data. The trend shows that accidents were not uniform over the years. The result of the prediction of accident between 2020 and 2024 shows a downward slope; meaning a downward reduction in accidents from 2020 to 2024. Based on the findings of the study, it was suggested that stringent measures and enforcement be put in place by traffic regulation agencies. Also, adequate enlightenment programmes should be mounted regularly by FRSC for effective sensitization of motorists.

Keywords : Trend Analysis, Time Series, Road Traffic, Accidents, Casualties, Motorists.

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