Authors :
E Pavan Kumar; Kuzhalini Sivanandam; Akshay Acharya; Sandeep Kumar Giri; Bharani Kumar Depuru
Volume/Issue :
Volume 9 - 2024, Issue 7 - July
Google Scholar :
https://tinyurl.com/593ssznm
Scribd :
https://tinyurl.com/5n7k4zpv
DOI :
https://doi.org/10.38124/ijisrt/IJISRT24JUL1725
Note : A published paper may take 4-5 working days from the publication date to appear in PlumX Metrics, Semantic Scholar, and ResearchGate.
Abstract :
The idea of determining the optimum bid
amount in any railway tender competition has been a
complex and critical task. Reasonable pricing is the main
gateway in the process of winning contracts. The
approach presented here is based on data-driven pricing
to maximize tender wins and reduce potential profit loss.
The model shall make use of historical tender data,
competitor pricing data, and market indicators in order
to predict the optimal bid amounts. This advanced ML
model runs advanced machine learning algorithms,
including regression models and ensembles, to study the
intricate relationship between factors that would affect
the successful execution of a bid. Deep learning models
are integrated into the model to provide it with better
handling of temporal dependencies and other hidden
patterns in data, hence yielding accurate and robust
predictions.
The key objective of the work is to increase the
winning rate of tender contracts by at least 10%, while
competitive profitability is ensured. Because of precise
competitor price predictions, business success criteria are
oriented to reaching this higher win rate on tenders. The
Machine learning success criteria target a price
prediction accuracy of at least 90%. Another important
set of economic success criteria that should be targeted is
an improvement in profit margins of at least 5% through
more accurate pricing strategies and a reduction in the
number of rejected bids.
It will offer great value to the businesses operating in
the railway industry in making proper decisions on
operations and strategic planning. The paper develops a
fusion of traditional statistical methodologies with
advanced ML and DL techniques in order to provide a
robust solution for competitive advantage and increased
profitability in the dynamic and competitive railway
tender market.
Keywords :
Bidding, Tender, Ridge Regression, Feed Forward Neural Networks.
References :
- Predicting the Tender Price of Buildings during Early Design: Method and Validation. R. McCAFFER, M. J. McCAFFREY and A. THORPE
- https://www.jstor.org/stable/2581370?seq=1&cid=pdf-reference#references_tab_contents
- Multiple Linear regression model for predicting bidding price Petrovski Aleksandar, Petruseva Silvana, Zileska Pancovska Valentina https://www.researchgate.net/publication/282646773_Multiple_Linear_regression_model_for_predicting_bidding_price
- Predicting Bidding Price in Construction using Support Vector Machine
- Silvana Petruseva, Phil Sherrod, Valentina Zileska Pancovska, Aleksandar Petrovski
- https://dx.doi.org/10.18421/TEM52-04k
- A machine learning-based Bidding price optimization algorithm approach Saleem Ahmad, Sultan Salem, Yousaf Ali Khan, I.M. Ashraf
- https://doi.org/10.1016/j.heliyon.2023.e20583
- Gradient Boosting Censored Regression for Winning Price Prediction in the Real-Time-Bidding, Piyush Paliwal and Oleksii Renov
- https://link.springer.com/chapter/10.1007/978-3-030-18590-9_43
- Resampling strategies for imbalance time series forecasting. Nuno Moniz, Paula Branco, Luís Torgo https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s41060-017-0044-3
- Revolutionizing TMT Steel Bar Sales Projections: Unleashing the Power of Deep Learning Algorithms for Unparalleled Forecasting Precision.
- Mohd Amer Hussain, Akhil Rasamsetti, Vaanishree Kamthane, Deba Chandan Mohanty
- https://ijisrt.com/assets/upload/files/IJISRT23NOV2192.pdf
- Market Clearing Price Prediction Using ANN in Indian Electricity Markets. Anamika & kumar https://sci-hub.se/https:/doi.org/10.1109/ICEETS.2016.7583797
- Advanced Machine Learning Algorithms for House Price Prediction: Case Study in Kuala Lumpur. Shuzlina Abdul-Rahman, Sofianita Mutalib,Nor Hamizah Zulkifley and Ismail Ibrahim https://thesai.org/Downloads/Volume12No12/Paper_91-Advanced_Machine_Learning_Algorithms.pdf
- Model selection Feed Forward Neural Networks for Forecasting inflow and outflow in Indonesia. Suhartono, Prilyandari Dina Saputri, Farah Fajrina Amalia, Dedy Dwi Prastyo and Brodjol Sutijo Suprih Ulama. https://link.springer.com/chapter/10.1007/978-981-10-7242-0_8
- Effective House Price Predictions using Machine Learning.Jincheng Zhou, Tao Hai, Ezinne C.Maxwell-Chigozie, Afolake Adedayo, Ying Chen, Celestine Iwendi and Zakaria Boulouard. https://link.springer.com/chapter/10.1007/978-3-031-37164-6_32
- Comparative Analysis of Random Forest Regression for House Price Prediction. Obilisetti Lohith,Aman Jha and Shamstabrej Chand Tamboli https://ijcrt.org/papers/IJCRT2306866.pdf
- Multiple Linear Regression Model for Prediction Bidding Price. Petrovski Aleksandar,Petruseva Silvana and Zileska Pancovska Valentina https://www.researchgate.net/publication/282646773_Multiple_Linear_regression_model_for_predicting_bidding_price
- Gradient Boosting Censored Regression for Winning Price Prediction in Real-time Bidding . Piyush Paliwal and Olesksii Renov https://link.springer.com/chapter/10.1007/978-3-030-18590-9_43
- A Machine Learning Based Bidding price optimization algorithm approach. Saleem Ahmed, Sultan Saleem, Yousaf Ali Khan and I.M.Ashraf https://www.cell.com/heliyon/fulltext/S2405-8440(23)07791-5?_returnURL=https%3A%2F%2Flinkinghub.elsevier.com%2Fretrieve%2Fpii%2FS2405844023077915%3Fshowall%3Dtrue
- Regularization and variable selection via the elastic net. Hui Zou, Trevor Hastie https://rss.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/j.1467-9868.2005.00503.x
The idea of determining the optimum bid
amount in any railway tender competition has been a
complex and critical task. Reasonable pricing is the main
gateway in the process of winning contracts. The
approach presented here is based on data-driven pricing
to maximize tender wins and reduce potential profit loss.
The model shall make use of historical tender data,
competitor pricing data, and market indicators in order
to predict the optimal bid amounts. This advanced ML
model runs advanced machine learning algorithms,
including regression models and ensembles, to study the
intricate relationship between factors that would affect
the successful execution of a bid. Deep learning models
are integrated into the model to provide it with better
handling of temporal dependencies and other hidden
patterns in data, hence yielding accurate and robust
predictions.
The key objective of the work is to increase the
winning rate of tender contracts by at least 10%, while
competitive profitability is ensured. Because of precise
competitor price predictions, business success criteria are
oriented to reaching this higher win rate on tenders. The
Machine learning success criteria target a price
prediction accuracy of at least 90%. Another important
set of economic success criteria that should be targeted is
an improvement in profit margins of at least 5% through
more accurate pricing strategies and a reduction in the
number of rejected bids.
It will offer great value to the businesses operating in
the railway industry in making proper decisions on
operations and strategic planning. The paper develops a
fusion of traditional statistical methodologies with
advanced ML and DL techniques in order to provide a
robust solution for competitive advantage and increased
profitability in the dynamic and competitive railway
tender market.
Keywords :
Bidding, Tender, Ridge Regression, Feed Forward Neural Networks.